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Abstract Number: 2098

Responder Phenotype Analysis for Intra-Articular Injections: Secondary Analysis from a Large Multi-Site Crossover Clinical Trial

Natalie Keller1, Bryant England2, Katherine Wysham3, Mercedes Quinones4, Marianna Olave5, Sarah Wetzel6, Hannah Brubeck7, Rachel Gillcrist6, Criswell Lavery8, Bibiana Ateh9, Bridget Kramer2, Kimberly Hayes6, Rui Xiao8, Kaitian Jin8, Alexis Ogdie8, Daniel K. White10, Tuhina Neogi11, Carla Scanzello12 and Joshua Baker8, 1University of Oklahoma, Philadelphia, PA, 2University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, 3VA PUGET SOUND/UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON, Seattle, WA, 4Howard University Hospital and Washington DC Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Washington, District of Columbia, 5Brown University, Philadelphia, PA, 6Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center, Philadelphia, 7VA Puget Sound Health Care System, Seattle, WA, 8University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, 9Washington VA Medical Center, Washington, District of Columbia, 10University of Delaware, Newark, DE, 11Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, MA, 12University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia

Meeting: ACR Convergence 2025

Keywords: corticosteroids, fibromyalgia, Osteoarthritis, pain, Patient reported outcomes

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Session Information

Date: Tuesday, October 28, 2025

Title: (2079–2105) Osteoarthritis – Clinical Poster II

Session Type: Poster Session C

Session Time: 10:30AM-12:30PM

Background/Purpose: Intra-articular (IA) corticosteroid injections are commonly utilized for pain management in knee osteoarthritis (KOA). However, clinical characteristics associated with a greater benefit from corticosteroid above placebo are not well defined. We aimed to identify participant characteristics associated with superior response to corticosteroid plus lidocaine compared to lidocaine-only, leveraging data from a large multi-site crossover trial.

Methods: In this factorially-designed, double-blinded, randomized trial also evaluating an exercise incentive program, participants were randomized to IA corticosteroid injections with lidocaine or a lidocaine-only placebo, followed by crossover to the other injection at 16 weeks. Participants were age 40-80 years with KOA recruited from 4 VA Medical Centers, had a clinical indication for joint injection, and a Kellgren-Lawrence (K-L) radiographic grade of >1. The primary outcome was the change in the total Knee Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS) measured over multiple time points (bi-weekly) for 12 weeks after each injection (~1 month washout). The minimal clinically important difference (MCID) was defined as a change of >10. Participants that received both injections were included in the crossover trial analysis. For each participant, we determined the difference in the change in total KOOS score at each bi-weekly interval to determine the ‘corticosteroid-attributable benefit (CAB)’ (Figure 1). Linear regression incorporating generalized estimating equations identified participant characteristics associated with higher CAB 2-12 weeks after injection.

Results: Among 196 participants, several clinically relevant participant characteristics were associated with CAB (Table 1). For example, fibromyalgia (N&#3f11) was associated with lower CAB [B: -6.41 (95% CI: -12.55, -0.27), p=0.04] (Table 1). Participants in the lowest tertile of pain pressure threshold (PPT) (N&#3f63), suggesting greater pain sensitization, also had lower CAB (p=0.03) (Table 1); the lowest PPT tertile demonstrated smaller CAB compared to the highest (Figure 2). Never smokers (N&#3f103) (compared to current smokers) had higher CAB (p=0.02), and CAB was numerically greater among those with higher waist circumference per 1 cm (p=0.06) and among those with a KL grade of 2 (v. 1) (N&#3f42) (p=0.06), though these were not statistically significant (Figure 2). When excluding patients with fibromyalgia, KL-scores < 2, and current smokers, there was a significantly greater likelihood of achieving MCID when receiving corticosteroid compared to placebo [OR 2.02 (95% CI: 1.20, 3.40) p=0.008; NNT=10], while no benefit was observed in the overall sample [OR 1.36 (0.93, 1.98) p=0.11; NNT= 23].

Conclusion: In this analysis from a large crossover trial, KOA participants with fibromyalgia and greater pain sensitization experienced significantly less added benefit from IA corticosteroid compared to lidocaine only. These findings suggest reduced benefits of corticosteroids among those with evidence of pain sensitization and may help clinicians select patients most likely to benefit from IA corticosteroids for KOA.

Supporting image 1Table 1. Unadjusted associations between baseline characteristics and greater corticosteroid-attributable benefit from injections in the crossover trial analysis.

Supporting image 2Figure 1. Visualization of “Corticosteroid-Attributable Benefit” (CAB) as Difference in Change in Total KOOS Score at Each Weekly Interval. The CAB was calculated as the average difference in change in total KOOS score at each weekly interval.

Supporting image 3Figure 2. Corticosteroid-Attributable Benefit (CAB) for Each Tertile of Knee Pain Pressure Threshold (PPT). The lowest tertile of PPT demonstrated significantly lower CAB than the highest tertile (p=0.03).


Disclosures: N. Keller: None; B. England: Boehringer-Ingelheim, 2, 5; K. Wysham: None; M. Quinones: None; M. Olave: None; S. Wetzel: None; H. Brubeck: None; R. Gillcrist: None; C. Lavery: None; B. Ateh: None; B. Kramer: None; K. Hayes: None; R. Xiao: None; K. Jin: None; A. Ogdie: AbbVie, 2, 5, Amgen, 2, 5, 11, Bristol Myers Squibb, 2, 5, Celgene, 2, 5, CorEvitas, LLC, 2, 5, Eli Lilly, 2, 5, Forward Databank, 5, Gilead, 1, 2, Janssen, 2, 5, Kopa/Twill Health, 2, NIH/NIAMS, National Psoriasis Foundation, 5, Novartis, 2, 5, 11, Pfizer, 2, 5, 11, Rheumatology Research Foundation, 5, Spyre, 2, Takeda, 2, UCB, 2, 5, University of Pennsylvania, 5; D. White: None; T. Neogi: None; C. Scanzello: None; J. Baker: None.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Keller N, England B, Wysham K, Quinones M, Olave M, Wetzel S, Brubeck H, Gillcrist R, Lavery C, Ateh B, Kramer B, Hayes K, Xiao R, Jin K, Ogdie A, White D, Neogi T, Scanzello C, Baker J. Responder Phenotype Analysis for Intra-Articular Injections: Secondary Analysis from a Large Multi-Site Crossover Clinical Trial [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2025; 77 (suppl 9). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/responder-phenotype-analysis-for-intra-articular-injections-secondary-analysis-from-a-large-multi-site-crossover-clinical-trial/. Accessed .
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