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Abstract Number: 1509

Validation of a Score for the Prediction of Serious Infection in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Data from a Latin American Lupus Cohort

Rosana Quintana1, Guillermo Pons-Estel2, Karen Roberts3, Erika S. Palacios Santillan3, Íñigo Rúa-Figueroa4, José María Pego-Reigosa5, Pablo Ibañez6, Leonel Ariel Berbotto7, Maria Constanza Bertolaccini8, Marina Laura Micelli9, Cecilia Pisoni10, Vitalina De Souza Barbosa11, Henrique de Ataíde Mariz12, Francinne Machado Ribeiro13, Luciana Parente14, Emília Sato15, Milena Mimica Davet16, Gustavo Aroca Martínez17, Fabio Bonilla-Abadía18, Gerardo Quintana López19, Reyna E. Sánchez Briones20, Mario Pérez Cristóbal21, Luis H. Silveira Torre22, Ignacio García De La Torre23, Ivan Morales Avendaño24, Pablo Gamez-Siller25, Astrid Paats26, Jorge N. Cieza Calderón27, Andy Armando Mendoza Maldonado28, Martin Rebella29, Gonzalo Silveira30, John Fredy Jaramillo31, Monica Sanchez32, Urbano Sbarigia33, Ashley Orillion34, Federico Zazzetti35, Graciela Alarcon36 and Bernardo Pons-Estel37, and Grupo Latino Americano de Estudio del Lupus (GLADEL), 1Centro Regional de Enfermedades Autoinmunes y Reumáticas (GO-CREAR), Rosario, Argentina, 2Centro Regional de Enfermedades Autoinmunes y Reumáticas (GO-CREAR), Rosario, Argentina, ROSARIO, Santa Fe, Argentina, 3Sección Reumatología, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 4Department of Rheumatology, Hospital Universitario Doctor Negrín, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas GC, Spain, 5Galicia Health Service (SERGAS), Vigo, Spain, 6Servicio de Reumatología del HIGA San Martín, La Planta, Argentina, 7Unidad de Enfermedades Autoinmunes, Hospital Escuela Eva Perón, Granadero Baigorria, Argentina, Granadero Baigorria, Argentina, 8Servicio de Reumatologia - Hospital Angel C. Padilla, San Miguel de Tucumán, Argentina, 9Hospital General de Agudos Dr Ramos Mejia, CABA, Argentina, 10CEMIC, Buenos Aires, Argentina, 11Hospital das Clínicas, Universidade Federal de Goias, Goias, Brazil, Goiânia, Brazil, 12Universidad Federal de Pernambuco, Recife, Brazil, 13Hospital Universitario Pedro Ernesto, UERJ, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 14Rheumatology Division, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil, São Paulo, SP, Brazil, 15Universidade Federal de Sao Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil, 16Facultad de Medicina y Ciencia, Universidad, San Sebastián, Chile, 17Universidad Simón Bolivar, Barranquilla, Colombia, Barranquilla, Colombia, 18Fundación Valle del Lili, Unidad de Reumatología, Cali, Colombia, 19Universidad de Los Andes, Hospital Universitario Fundación Santa Fe de Bogotá, Bogotá, Colombia, 20División de Investigación en Salud, Hospital de Especialidades Dr. Antonio Fraga Mouret, CMN La Raza, IMSS, CDMX, Mexico, 21Centro Médico Nacional Siglo XXI, CDMX, Mexico, IMMS, Mexico, 22Department of Rheumatology , Instituto Nacional de Cardiología Ignacio Chávez., Mexico City, Mexico, 23Depto. de Inmunología y Reumatología; Centro de Estudios de Investigación Básica y Clínica, Guadalajara, Mexico, 24Hospital Central Dr. Ignacio Morones Prieto, Potosi, Mexico, 25Servicio de Reumatologia del Hospital Universitario, "Dr. Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez", Universidad Autonoma de Nuevo Leon, Monterrey, Mexico, 26Hospital de Clínicas I, Asunción, Paraguay, 27Hospital Nacional Edgardo Rebagliatti Martins, Lima, Perú, Lima, Peru, 28Hospital Cayetano Heredia. Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Lima, Peru, 29Unidad Enfermedades Autoinmunes Sistemicas, Clinica Medica C-Hospital de Clinicas, UDELAR Montevideo, Montevideo, Uruguay, 30Grupo de Investigación de EAIS y Reumatológicas, Montevideo, Uruguay, 31Centro de Referencia en Osteoporosis & Reumatología, Bogotá, Colombia, 32Unidad Nefrologia,Hospital fernandez, CABA, Argentina, 33Johnson & Johnson Innovative Medicine, Brussels, Belgium, 34Johnson & Johnson Innovative Medicine, Spring House, PA, PA, 35Johnson & Johnson Innovative Medicine, Horsham, PA, PA, 36The University of Alabama at Birmingham, Oakland, CA, 37Centro Regional de Enfermedades Autoinmunes y Reumáticas (GO-CREAR), Rosario, Santa Fe, Argentina

Meeting: ACR Convergence 2024

Keywords: Cohort Study, Infection, risk factors, Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE)

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Session Information

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Title: SLE – Diagnosis, Manifestations, & Outcomes Poster II

Session Type: Poster Session B

Session Time: 10:30AM-12:30PM

Background/Purpose: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are at increased risk of serious infections, which in turn, are associated with morbidity and mortality. The Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Registry of the Spanish Society of Rheumatology (RELESSER) group has developed and internally validated a tool for prediction of serious infections in SLE, with a recently improved version (SLE SI Score Revised or SLESIS-R)1, being an accurate and reliable instrument. SLESIS-R includes age, previous SLE-related hospitalization, previous serious infection, and glucocorticoid dose. This study aimed to validate SLESIS-R in a multi-ethnic, multi-national Latin-American (LA) SLE cohort.

Methods: GLADEL 2.0 is an observational cohort from 10 LA countries of patients ≥18 years of age who fulfilled the 1982/1997 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) and/or the 2012 Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) classification criteria. Patients with sufficient data at baseline and first annual visits were included. The outcome variable was any serious infection during the first year of follow up that led to hospitalization. Baseline demographics and clinical manifestations, disease activity (SLEDAI-2k), SLICC/ACR Damage Index (SDI) and treatments were examined. Logistic regression was used to examine the predictive effect of baseline variables on the development of serious infection in the first year of follow-up. Receiver operator characteristics (ROC) analysis was used to define the area under the curve (AUC) for SLESIS-R. The cut-off point with the best validity parameters (sensitivity and specificity) was identified.

Results: Of the 1016 patients who completed one-year follow-up, 208 (20.4%) had serious infections. Patients with serious infections were older, predominantly male, and had a longer disease duration (Table 1). This group had more frequent general, cardiac, pulmonary, hematological and gastrointestinal involvement at baseline and had a higher SDI and higher proportion of previous hospitalization. Univariate and multivariate analyses (Table 2) show variables associated with serious infection: disease duration, pulmonary and gastrointestinal involvements, and baseline glucocorticoid use. The AUC for the score was 0.922 (0.903-0.940) (Figure 1). A score of 7 was chosen as the optimal cut-off point, demonstrating a sensitivity of 87% and specificity of 82%.

Conclusion: Almost a third of patients had serious infections during the first year of follow-up. The score performed well in predicting serious infections, similar to the original score.

Reference
1. Rua-Figueroa I, et al. Lupus Sci Med. 2024;11:e001096. doi:10.1136/lupus-2023-001096

Supporting image 1

Table 1

Supporting image 2

Table 2

Supporting image 3

Figure 1


Disclosures: R. Quintana: None; G. Pons-Estel: Abbvie, 6, AstraZeneca, 1, 6, 12, Support to attend a scientific event, Boehringer-Ingelheim, 1, 2, 6, 12, Support to attend a scientific event, GSK, 1, 5, 6, Janssen, 1, 5, 6, Novartis, 1, 6, 12, Support to attend a scientific event, Pfizer, 1, 6, Remegen, 1, RemeGen, 1, 2, Remegen, 2, RemeGen, 5, 6, Remegen, 6, Sanofi, 1, 2, 5, 6, Werfen Diagnostics, 1, 2, 5, 6; K. Roberts: None; E. Palacios Santillan: None; Í. Rúa-Figueroa: AstraZeneca, 2, 6, GlaxoSmithKlein(GSK), 2, 6, Otsuka, 2, 6; J. Pego-Reigosa: AstraZeneca, 1, 6, GSK, 5, 6, Otsuka, 1, Pfizer, 5, Roche, 1; P. Ibañez: None; L. Ariel Berbotto: None; M. Constanza Bertolaccini: None; M. Micelli: None; C. Pisoni: None; V. De Souza Barbosa: None; H. de Ataíde Mariz: None; F. Ribeiro: None; L. Parente: AstraZeneca, 6, Janssen, 6; E. Sato: None; M. Mimica Davet: None; G. Aroca Martínez: None; F. Bonilla-Abadía: None; G. López: None; R. Sánchez Briones: None; M. Pérez Cristóbal: None; L. Silveira Torre: None; I. De La Torre: None; I. Morales Avendaño: None; P. Gamez-Siller: None; A. Paats: None; J. Calderón: None; A. Mendoza Maldonado: None; M. Rebella: None; G. Silveira: None; J. Fredy Jaramillo: None; M. Sanchez: None; U. Sbarigia: Janssen, 3, Johnson & Johnson, 11; A. Orillion: Janssen, 3, Johnson & Johnson, 11; F. Zazzetti: Janssen, 3, Johnson & Johnson, 11; G. Alarcon: None; B. Pons-Estel: AstraZeneca, 1, 6, GSK, 1, 6, Janssen, 1, 6.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Quintana R, Pons-Estel G, Roberts K, Palacios Santillan E, Rúa-Figueroa Í, Pego-Reigosa J, Ibañez P, Ariel Berbotto L, Constanza Bertolaccini M, Micelli M, Pisoni C, De Souza Barbosa V, de Ataíde Mariz H, Ribeiro F, Parente L, Sato E, Mimica Davet M, Aroca Martínez G, Bonilla-Abadía F, López G, Sánchez Briones R, Pérez Cristóbal M, Silveira Torre L, De La Torre I, Morales Avendaño I, Gamez-Siller P, Paats A, Calderón J, Mendoza Maldonado A, Rebella M, Silveira G, Fredy Jaramillo J, Sanchez M, Sbarigia U, Orillion A, Zazzetti F, Alarcon G, Pons-Estel B. Validation of a Score for the Prediction of Serious Infection in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Data from a Latin American Lupus Cohort [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2024; 76 (suppl 9). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/validation-of-a-score-for-the-prediction-of-serious-infection-in-patients-with-systemic-lupus-erythematosus-data-from-a-latin-american-lupus-cohort/. Accessed .
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