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Abstract Number: 2169

Short to Medium Term Safety of Glucocorticoid Therapy in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Simon Tarp1, Daniel Furst2, John R. Kirwan3, Maarten Boers4, Henning Bliddal5, Thasia Woodworth6, Else Marie Bartels7, Bente Danneskiold-Samsoe5, Lars Erik Kristensen8, Steffen Thirstrup9, Mette Rasmussen9, Marian Kaldas10 and Robin Christensen1, 1Musculoskeletal Statistics Unit, The Parker Institute, Department of Rheumatology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg, Denmark, 2Div of Rheumatology, UCLA Medical School, Los Angeles, CA, 3Academic Rheumatology Unit, Bristol Royal Infirmary, Bristol, United Kingdom, 4Epidemiology & Biostatistics, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, Netherlands, 5Department of Rheumatology, The Parker Institute, Copenhagen University Hospital at Frederiksberg, Copenhagen F, Denmark, 6Leading Edge Clinical Research LLC, Florida, FL, 7Department of Rheumatology, The Parker Institute, Copenhagen University Hospital at Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg, Copenhagen F, Denmark, 8Rheumatology, Skåen University Hospital, Lund University, Lund, Sweden, 9Institute for Pharmacology and Pharmacotherapy, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark, 10David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California in Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA

Meeting: 2012 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting

Keywords: Adverse events, glucocorticoids, meta-analysis and rheumatoid arthritis (RA)

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Session Information

Title: Rheumatoid Arthritis Treatment - Small Molecules, Biologics and Gene Therapy

Session Type: Abstract Submissions (ACR)

Background/Purpose:

Concerns regarding Adverse Effects (AEs) often dominate decisions on applying Glucocorticoid (GC) therapy. Evidence of AEs is mainly based on observational data without proper control groups. Thus, an examination of Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) for short to medium term AEs from GC would be useful. Our aim was to assess the risk of selected AEs, ranked as most worrisome among patients and rheumatologists (1), in relation to dose.

Methods:

A systematic search in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL was performed. Inclusion criteria were RCTs in patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) with any Prednisone Equivalent Dose Differences (PEDD) between trial arms, independent of type of administration, type of GC, or study duration. RCTs of GCs without a prednisone equivalent conversion factor were excluded. One reviewer extracted the data from the included trials and a second reviewer checked the extracted data.  Analyses were based on differences in dose between trial arms (more vs. less) and therefore an assumption for linearity in response, e.g. 10 mg/d PEDD in trials of 10 vs. 0 mg was equal to 70 vs. 60 mg. For the meta-analyses, a random-effects (REML) model was used to estimate the pooled Risk Ratios (RR) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI). The average daily and accumulated PEDD in mg between trial arms were estimated and categorized in following dose-groups: low (≤7.5 mg), medium (>7.5, ≤30 mg), and high (>30 mg) for each RCT. Meta-regression and stratified analyses were conducted to explore dose-response, using daily and accumulated PEDD as covariates and dose-groups as strata for each outcome.

Results:

Of 2821 references identified, 524 were reviewed in detail, and 59 RCTs (66 Randomized Comparisons with a total of 4831 patients) were eligible for inclusion. Overall, the risks of the selected AEs over 24 to 104 weeks were not increased when comparing more vs. less GC (Table). Although none of the analyses showed statistical significance, some of the meta-regression and stratified analyses suggested a trend for a dose-response for GC given up to doses of maximum 75 mg/d PEDD. There was a trend towards an increasing risk of osteoporosis (from RR 1.07 to 3.41 when applied in medium dose), cardiovascular diseases (from RR 1.19 to 2.75 when applied in high dose). Interestingly, with data for the high dose relatively limited, the dose-response pattern for both non-viral infections and diabetes showed a tendency to decreasing risk with increasing GC dose.

Outcome

No of Studies(RC)

No of Pt.

Pt. years

Overall   RR 95%(CI)

Duration Median(weeks)

Daily PEDD Median(mg)

Accum. PEDD Median(mg)

Dose-Response RR (95%CI)

Low dose Stratum

Medium dose stratum

High dose stratum

P-value for
inter­action

Diabetes

18

1880

2196

1.18 (0.56,2.49)

78

8.8

4612

1.72(0.29,10.18)

1.03(0.13,8.36)

1.03(0.29,3.67)

0.84

Osteoporosis

12

1464

2166

1.31  (0.74,2.32)

104

5.0

3650

1.07 (0.51,2.25)

3.41(0.68,7.13)

NA

0.17

Cardiovascular diseases

20

2180

2865

0.88  (0.59,1.32)

38

5

2730

1.19(0.44,3.26)

2.41(0.61,9.50)

2.75(0.18,42.76)

0.27

Hypertension

21

2178

3047

1.24(0,83,1,86)

104

5

3600

1.41(0.85,2.35)

0.77(0.40,1.50)

1.67(0.35,7.84)

0.28

Infections (non-viral)

19

2107

2402

0.90  (0.78,1,04)

24

7.5

1425

0.95(0.78,1.16)

0.82(0.63,1.07)

0.36(0.01,11.01)

0.53

Renal Dysfunction

15

2044

2724

1.41  (0.97,2.05)

78

5

1890

1.25(0.64,2.43)

1.99(0.11,35.44)

NA

0.72

Weight gain

18

1967

2626

1.19  (0.98,1.46)

78

7.3

3625

1.23(0.83,1.83)

1.25(0.92,1.71)

0.91(0.49,1.70)

0.60

#PEDD: Prednisone Equivalent Dose Differences; RC: Randomized Comparisons; RR Risk Ratio; CI: Confidence Intervals; pt: patients

Conclusion:

This study presents empirical evidence, based on RCTs, that: 1) there is no statistical evidence to support concerns of an overall increased risk of the selected side effects of GCs, when the GC is used over a period of 24 to 104 weeks; 2) a tendency to a dose-dependent increased risk was noted for osteoporosis and cardiovascular side effects, while there may be decreasing risk for diabetes and non-viral infections.

References:

(1) van der Goes MC, et al. Ann Rheum Dis 2010; 69(6):1015-21.


Disclosure:

S. Tarp,

MundiPharma,

2;

D. Furst,

Abbott, Actelion, Amgen, BMS, Gilead, GSK, NIH, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche/Genentech, UCB ,

2,

Abbott, Actelion, Amgen, BMS, Biogenldec, Centocor, Gilead, GSK, NIH, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche/Genentech, UCB,

5,

Abbott, Actelion, UCB (CME ONLY) ,

8;

J. R. Kirwan,

Nitec, Mundipharma, Horizon,

2;

M. Boers,

Horizon and Mundipharma,

5;

H. Bliddal,

MundiPharma,

2;

T. Woodworth,
None;

E. M. Bartels,

MundiPharma,

2;

B. Danneskiold-Samsoe,

MundiPharma,

2;

L. E. Kristensen,

Mundipharma,

5,

Mundipharma,

8;

S. Thirstrup,
None;

M. Rasmussen,
None;

M. Kaldas,
None;

R. Christensen,

MundiPharma,

2.

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