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Abstract Number: 202

Risk of Inflammatory Arthritis Development in the Family Members of Indigenous North American (INA) RA Patients

Stacy Tanner1, Irene Smolik2, Brenden Dufault3, Carol Hitchon3, David Robinson1, Elizabeth Ferucci4 and Hani El-Gabalawy3, 1Rheumatology, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada, 2Arthritis Center, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada, 3University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada, 4Alaska Native Medical Center, Anchorage, AK

Meeting: 2018 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting

Keywords: Anti-CCP antibodies and rheumatoid arthritis (RA)

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Session Information

Date: Sunday, October 21, 2018

Title: Epidemiology and Public Health Poster I: Rheumatoid Arthritis

Session Type: ACR Poster Session A

Session Time: 9:00AM-11:00AM

Background/Purpose: INA populations have a high prevalence of seropositive RA, often with severe disease. The risk of RA in family members of RA patients, particularly first-degree relatives (FDR), is estimated to be up to 4 times that of the general population. We prospectively followed a cohort of unaffected family members of INA RA patients to determine the incidence of inflammatory arthritis (IA).

Methods: Family members of INA RA probands were recruited and followed longitudinally between 2005-2017. At baseline, participants were examined to confirm absence of synovitis and questionnaires regarding joint symptoms, lifestyle, and comorbidities were administered. Serum was tested for ACPA (anti-CCP3 ELISA) and IgM RF seropositivity. Seropositive individuals were re-evaluated annually and seronegative individuals every three years. Participants were instructed to contact the investigators if symptoms suggestive of IA occurred and were re-evaluated at that time. Diagnosis of IA required one or more swollen joints deemed to represent synovitis by a study rheumatologist. Individuals included in the analysis had a least two visits, 6 months or more apart. To calculate the incidence of IA, number of IA cases was used as the numerator, and total years of follow-up of the entire cohort served as the denominator.

Results: 374 family members (314 from Manitoba, 60 from Alaska) were enrolled. The majority (75%) were FDR. Total follow-up time for the cohort was 1,940 person-years. 18 (4.8%) people developed IA after a mean of 4.8 (IQR 3.6-6.1) years, and 15/18 (83%) met the 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria for RA. Baseline cohort characteristics are in Table 1. The rate of IA development was 9.2 cases per 1000 person years of follow-up (0.9% annually). 6/18 of the IA group was ACPA and RF seronegative at baseline with a median time to transition of 5.6 (±1.1) years, whereas the 5/18 who were ACPA/RF positive at baseline developed IA after 3.2 (±2.2) years (Table 2). Interestingly, 7/12 relatives who were ACPA/RF positive at baseline had not developed IA after being followed for a mean of 5.1 years (± 2.2), and many individuals who were seropositive at any given time subsequently became seronegative.

Conclusion: This prospective longitudinal cohort study of the relatives of INA RA patients is the first to establish the incidence of IA in this high-risk population. As expected, ACPA+/RF+ seropositivity is associated with the highest rates of IA development and shortest latency period. Importantly, the lack of IA development in the majority of seropositive individuals, including ACPA+/RF+, suggests the transition to clinically detectable disease relates to other unknown factors.

Table 1. Baseline characteristics of individuals with longitudinal follow-up.

Transitioner, n=18

Non-Transitioner, n=356

p-value

Female

14 (77.8)

234 (65.7)

0.29

Age (years), mean (SD)

30.0(11.5)

37.1 (12.8)

0.02

Duration of follow-up (years), mean (SD)

4.8 (2.4)

5.2 (2.7)

0.57

History of smoking

16 (88.9)

272 (76.5)

0.24

Pack years smoking, med (IQR)

3.5 (1.2-12.0)

5 (0.8-12.6)

0.41

BMI (kg/m2), mean (SD)

28.9 (7.9)

32.4 (7.1)

0.06

Diabetes

0 (0)

58 (19.5)

0.13

Any HLA shared epitope (SE)

8/15 (53.3)

114/192(59.4)

0.65

HLA 1402 positive

9/15 (60.0)

93/234(39.7)

0.07

HLA SE double positive

5/15 (33.3)

30/192(15.6)

0.10

CRP (mg/L), med (IQR)

2.4 (1.1-5.7)

3.4 (1.7-7.0)

0.44

ACPA negative †

8 (44.4)

321 (91.2)

0.01

ACPA positive†

10 (55.5)

31 (8.8)

0.01

ACPA strong positive†

7 (38.9)

11 (3.1)

0.01

RF negative‡

11(61.1)

295 (84.7)

0.02

RF positive‡

7 (38.9)

53 (15.2)

0.01

RF strong positive‡

4 (22.2)

11 (3.2)

0.01

RF and ACPA positive‡

5 (27.8)

7 (2.0)

0.01

Symptoms

Hand pain

10/16 (62.5)

143/279 (51.3)

0.381

Other joint pain

10/15 (66.7)

155/280 (55.4)

0.390

Hand swelling

6/16 (37.5)

99/282 (35.1)

0.845

Other joint swelling

7/16 (43.8)

79/279 (28.3)

0.405

Hand stiffness

8/17(47.1)

109/281 (38.3)

0.498

Other joint stiffness

8/16 (50)

114/280 (40.7)

0.407

Values are reported as n (%), unless otherwise noted.

* Strong positive values generated according to ACR definition. Strong positive ³3x’s upper limit of normal based on manufacturers cut-off.

† n=352 in non-transitioner subset

‡ n=348 in non-transitioner subset

Table 2. Baseline autoantibody groups and development of inflammatory arthritis.

ACPA-/RF-

n=285

ACPA-/RF+

n=48

ACPA+/RF-

n=29

ACPA+/RF+

n=12

Time at risk, person-years

1472.1

276.2

137.3

51.5

Cases of IA (% in autoantibody group)

6 (2.1)

2 (4.2)

5 (17.2)

5 (41.7)

Cases of IA/ 1000 person years

4.1

7.2

36.4

97.1

Time to IA, years

5.6 (1.1)

5.5 (5.0)

4.7 (2.7)

3.2 (2.2)

Time to ACPA positivity, years

2.3 (1.7)

2.2 (n=1)

–

–

Number cases meeting ACR RA criteria

5/6

1/2

5/5

4/5

Values are reported as mean with standard deviation unless stated.

Seropositivity of ACPA and RF based on manufacturers cut-off level.


Disclosure: S. Tanner, None; I. Smolik, None; B. Dufault, None; C. Hitchon, Pfizer, Inc., 2; D. Robinson, None; E. Ferucci, None; H. El-Gabalawy, None.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Tanner S, Smolik I, Dufault B, Hitchon C, Robinson D, Ferucci E, El-Gabalawy H. Risk of Inflammatory Arthritis Development in the Family Members of Indigenous North American (INA) RA Patients [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2018; 70 (suppl 9). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/risk-of-inflammatory-arthritis-development-in-the-family-members-of-indigenous-north-american-ina-ra-patients/. Accessed .
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