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Abstract Number: 1874

Remission and Low Disease Activity State Are Protective of Intermediate and Long-Term Outcomes in SLE Patients. Data from a Multi-Ethnic, Multi-Center US Cohort

Guillermo J. Pons-Estel1,2, Graciela S. Alarcón3, Manuel Ugarte-Gil4,5, Luis M. Vilá6, John D. Reveille7 and Gerald McGwin3, 1Rheumatology, Hospital Provincial de Rosario, Rosario, Argentina, 2Centro Regional de Enfermedades Autoinmunes y Reumáticas (GO-CREAR), Rosario. Argentina, Rosario, Argentina, 3University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, 4Rheumatology, Universidad Científica del Sur, Lima, Peru, 5Hospital Guillermo Almenara Irigoyen. EsSalud, Lima, Peru, 6Department of Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, University of Puerto Rico Medical Sciences Campus, San Juan, Puerto Rico, 7McGovern Medical School at the University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX

Meeting: 2018 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting

Keywords: Disease Activity, Lupus, outcome measures and remission

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Session Information

Date: Monday, October 22, 2018

Title: 4M081 ACR Abstract: Edmond L. Dubois, MD Memorial Lecture: SLE–Clinical (1870–1874)

Session Type: ACR Concurrent Abstract Session

Session Time: 2:30PM-4:00PM

Background/Purpose: Over the last few years the importance of treating patients with SLE towards achieving either Remission or LDAS (Treat-to-Target approach) has become evident. We have now aimed at determining the beneficial effects of achieving these states in lupus patients from a multi-ethnic, multicenter lupus cohort (LUMINA for Lupus in Minorities: Nature vs. Nurture).

Methods:

The LUMINA cohort was started in 1993 and up to 2009 recruited nearly 600 patients of either Caucasian (28%), African (37%) or Hispanic (35%) ancestry, at three institutions: Alabama, Texas and Puerto Rico. Visits were performed every 6 months for the first year and yearly thereafter. Socioeconomic, demographic and clinical data were obtained at all visits. Disease activity was ascertained with the Systemic Lupus Activity Measure (SLAM) and disease damage with the SLICC Damage Index (SDI). We have now examined all patients’ visits and classified them as corresponding to Remission (SLAM score=0 and Prednisone ≤5 mg/day and no immunosuppressants), LDAS [(not in Remission), SLAM score ≤3, prednisone <7.5 mg/day, no immunosuppressants) or neither: active. Because of the relatively small number of visits corresponding to Remission, Remission and LDAS visits were examined as a single variable. The association between the last SDI and the percent of time on Remission/LDAS was modeled using Poisson regression with adjustment for variables known to affect this outcome (age, gender, ethnic/racial group, baseline disease activity and disease damage). In a separate multivariable regression model, mortality, adjusting for variables known to affect this outcome, was the end-point.

Results: Visits for 558 patients (total number of visits: 3979; median number of visits per patient: 6.8, interquartile range 4-6) were examined. The longer patients were on Remission/LDAS, the less likely they were to accrue damage [Estimate 0.3503, 95%CI 0.2497 to 0.4905 (p<0.001)]. In terms of mortality the direction of the association was as expected (protective) but statistical significance was not reached [Parameter estimate OR 0.303 (Wald 95%CI 0.063 to 1.456 (p=0.1360)].

Conclusion:

The longer lupus patients are in remission/LDAS, the less likely they are to accrue damage. Other significant variables in this analysis, were, as expected, associated with damage (older age, male gender, not being from Puerto Rico, higher disease activity at baseline and higher damage at the baseline visit). Although the direction of the association in terms of mortality was as expected, statistical significance was not reached. These data have implications for the management of patients with lupus regardless of their ethnic/racial background.

Table 1. Poisson Multivariable Regression Model of Damage in LUMINA patients

Variable

Estimate

Wald 95% CI

p value

Age

0.0120

1.0070-1.0170

<0.0001

Gender (male)

1.1177

0.9216-1.3557

0.2581

Race/ethnic group

Hispanic (Puerto Rico)

Ref.

Caucasian

2.6104

2.0069-3.3950

<0.0001

African American

2.1843

1.7064-2.7960

<0.0001

Hispanic (Texas)

1.7690

1.3638-2.2945

<0.0001

SDI (baseline)

1.3214

1.2693-1.3758

<0.0001

SLAM score (baseline)

1.0258

1.0057-1.0373

<0.0001

Remission/LDAS

0.3503

0.2497-0.4945

<0.0001


Disclosure: G. J. Pons-Estel, None; G. S. Alarcón, None; M. Ugarte-Gil, None; L. M. Vilá, None; J. D. Reveille, Janssen, 5,Eli Lilly and Co., 2, 5,UCB, Inc., 5,Novartis, 5; G. McGwin, None.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Pons-Estel GJ, Alarcón GS, Ugarte-Gil M, Vilá LM, Reveille JD, McGwin G. Remission and Low Disease Activity State Are Protective of Intermediate and Long-Term Outcomes in SLE Patients. Data from a Multi-Ethnic, Multi-Center US Cohort [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2018; 70 (suppl 9). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/remission-and-low-disease-activity-state-are-protective-of-intermediate-and-long-term-outcomes-in-sle-patients-data-from-a-multi-ethnic-multi-center-us-cohort/. Accessed .
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