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Abstract Number: 1476

Individualizing NSAIDs in Axial Spondyloarthritis Through a Series of N-of-1 Clinical Trials with Bayesian Analysis

Mark Hwang1, Seokhun Kim2, Shervin Assassi3, Joyce Samuel4, Charles Green2, Jon Tyson4 and John Reveille5, 1Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, John P. and Katherine G. McGovern School of Medicine, UTHealth Houston, Houston, TX, 2UTHealth Houston, Houston, 3UTHealth Houston Division of Rheumatology, Houston, TX, 4UTHealth Houston, Houston, TX, 5UTHealth Houston Division of Rheumatology, Houston

Meeting: ACR Convergence 2024

Keywords: Ankylosing spondylitis (AS), clinical trial, COX inhibitors, Nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), spondyloarthritis

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Session Information

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024

Title: SpA Including PsA – Treatment Poster II

Session Type: Poster Session B

Session Time: 10:30AM-12:30PM

Background/Purpose: Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are first line pharmacological treatment for Axial Spondyloarthritis (axSpA), yet individual responses to different NSAIDs vary significantly. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy and patient preference of different NSAIDs in axSpA management through a series of N-of-1 clinical trials to assess treatment effects.

Methods: This study conducted a series of N-of-1 trials involving 42 patients consecutive patients meeting ASAS criteria for AxSpA from a single, academic center.  A series of N-of-1 trials is a set of individualized, crossover trials where each patient serves as their own control to identify the most effective treatment for their condition.  Each patient underwent two cycles of randomized, double-blind, crossover comparisons of three NSAIDs: celecoxib 200 mg , meloxicam 7.5 mg , and naproxen 500 mg twice daily.  The primary outcome was the change in the Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS) from baseline. In the first cycle, each NSAID was administered for four weeks with outcomes assessed at the end of this 4-week medication. The least-preferred medication  (based on adverse reactions to medication/least reduction in ASDAS) was then eliminated, and patients entered a second cycle, taking the two remaining NSAIDs again in a randomized order.  The final, preferred NSAID drug was again chosen based on greatest mean reduction in ASDAS  Bayesian analysis, assuming a neutral prior (no preference in the comparison), was used to calculate the mean change in ASDAS and posterior probabilities for each NSAID. Secondary outcomes included patient preference and adverse events.

Results: Baseline demographics were gender parity (n=21 per gender) with a mean age of 43.14 years (± 14.26) and BMI of 30.79 (± 14.26). Thirty out of the 42 patients (72%) enrolled completed the N-of-1 trial series. Mean reductions in ASDAS from baseline conferred benefits for all NSAIDs (celecoxib, meloxicam, and naproxen) with high posterior probabilities of benefit ( >0.99) (Figure 1).  No particular NSAID was chosen over the other NSAIDs as the preferred drug (Figure 2).  Importantly, the preferred drug, identified based on individual patient responses, conferred a greater reduction in ASDAS compared to the eliminated drug (0.88 vs. 0.12, posterior probability of benefit >0.99) (Figure 3). Adverse events were infrequent and similar across all NSAIDs, with gastrointestinal issues being the most common.

Conclusion: Bayesian analysis in N-of-1 trials effectively identified the optimal NSAID for individual patients with axSpA, highlighting substantial variability in individual responses. Personalized NSAID therapy guided by this approach can improve clinical outcomes and patient satisfaction while minimizing adverse effects. This study supports the need for larger n-of-1 trials to examine substantial variability in individual responses to NSAIDs with the ultimate goal of broader implementation in clinical practice.

Supporting image 1

Figure 1: Average disease-activity effect of medication (reduction in ASDAS from baseline, n=42). a) ASDAS reduction per treatment b) probability of ASDAS reduction from Celecoxib c) probability of ASDAS reduction from Meloxicam d) probability of ASDAS reduction from Naproxen

Supporting image 2

Figure 2: Preferred Medication after completing the N-of_1 trial (n=30). a) Frequency of preferred NSAID b) probability of celecoxib over c) probability of Meloxicam over Naproxen d) probability of Celecoxib over Meloxicam.

Supporting image 3

Figure 3: Difference in ASDAS reduction between Eliminated and Preferred Medication after completing the N-of_1 trial (n=30). a) ASDAS reduction of eliminated and preferred medication b) probability of ASDAS reduction from baseline of eliminated medication c) probability of ASDAS reduction from baseline of preferred medication.


Disclosures: M. Hwang: Eli Lilly, 5, Janssen, 5, UCB Pharma, 2; S. Kim: None; S. Assassi: AstraZeneca, 2, aTyr, 2, 5, BMS, 2, Boehringer-Ingelheim, 2, 5, CSL Behring, 2, Janssen, 5, Merck/MSD, 2, TeneoFour, 2; J. Samuel: None; C. Green: None; J. Tyson: None; J. Reveille: None.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Hwang M, Kim S, Assassi S, Samuel J, Green C, Tyson J, Reveille J. Individualizing NSAIDs in Axial Spondyloarthritis Through a Series of N-of-1 Clinical Trials with Bayesian Analysis [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2024; 76 (suppl 9). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/individualizing-nsaids-in-axial-spondyloarthritis-through-a-series-of-n-of-1-clinical-trials-with-bayesian-analysis/. Accessed .
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