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Abstract Number: 2938

Baseline Predictors of Remission and Low Disease Activity Using Recently Defined International Criteria in a Multi-Center Lupus Registry Cohort

Kichul Ko1, Alana B. Levine2, Russell Griffin3, Olga Dvorkina4, Saira Sheikh5, Jinoos Yazdany6, Richard Furie7 and Cynthia Aranow8, 1Section of Rheumatology and Gwen Knapp Center for Lupus and Immunology Research, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, 2Rheumatology, Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, NY, 3University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, 4Medicine, SUNY Health Science Center at Brooklyn, Brooklyn, NY, 5University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC, 6Rheumatology, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, 7Division of Rheumatology, North Shore - LIJ Health System, New York, NY, 8Feinstein Institute for Medical Research, Mahasset, NY

Meeting: 2015 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting

Date of first publication: September 29, 2015

Keywords: Clinical, outcomes, registry, remission and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE)

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Session Information

Date: Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Title: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus - Clinical Aspects and Treatment Poster Session III

Session Type: ACR Poster Session C

Session Time: 9:00AM-11:00AM

Background/Purpose:  Treating to a
target of remission or low disease activity state (LDAS) is an attractive
potential therapeutic approach in SLE. Recently, LDAS and remission in SLE have
been proposed by the Asia-Pacific Lupus Collaboration (APLC) and the
Definitions of Remission in SLE (DORIS) consensus panel, respectively. We
identified 1228 of the 1506 patients who completed enrollment in a real-world
SLE registry composed of 17 centers in the United States and Canada who had at
least ≥ 1 follow-up visit through one year following enrollment, and
we evaluated the incidence and predictors of achieving these outcomes.

Methods: Using
definitions created by the APLC and DORIS, subjects were classified into 4 mutually
exclusive groups based on the lowest remission or LDAS category they reached
and maintained for ≥ 1 year: 1) Not optimally controlled:
SLEDAI > 4, prednisone > 7.5 mg/d OR physician global assessment (PGA)
> 1.0; 2) LDAS: SLEDAI ≤ 4, prednisone ≤ 7.5
mg/d AND PGA ≤ 1.0 with immunosuppressive drugs being allowed; 3) Remission
On Therapy:
Prednisone ≤ 5mg and/or maintenance
immunosuppressive agents allowed, SLEDAI = 0 AND PGA ≤ 0.5; 4) Remission
Off Therapy
: No steroids or immunosuppressive agents, SLEDAI = 0 AND PGA ≤
0.5. Characteristics of subjects at baseline were compared using chi-square and
analysis of variance tests (Table 1).  A multinomial logistic regression
(ordered logit) ranking outcomes from remission off therapy (lowest) to not
optimally controlled disease (highest) was used to examine the multivariable
association between baseline predictors and ordered outcome.

Results: Among 1228
patients, 91.6 % were female, mean age was 41.1 years (±13.3 y) and median
duration of disease was 9.8 years (interquartile range [IQR] 4.96 – 16.34 y).
At follow-up (median duration of 2.05 years [IQR 1.54 – 2.44 y]); 930
(75.7%) patients were classified as not optimally controlled; 139 (14.9%)
achieved LDAS; and 93 (7.57%) and 66 (5.37%) achieved remission on or off
therapy, respectively, for ≥ 1 year. Among the groups, statistically
significant differences were observed for age at diagnosis, steroid and
immunosuppressive usage, PGA, patient global assessment of disease,
SELENA-SLEDAI scores and ACR criteria count (Table 1). In multivariable analysis,
decreased odds of a more desirable ordered outcome category were observed for
increasing SELENA-SLEDAI scores (odds ratio [OR] 0.89, 95% CI 0.84-0.94),
steroid usage (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.84-0.94) and increasing patient global
assessment (OR 0.993, 95% CI 0.987-0.999).

Conclusion: Optimal control
of SLE disease activity through one year, defined as LDAS or remission on/off
therapy, was achieved in 24.3 % of patients in the LCTC cohort. Baseline
predictors of better control of SLE at follow-up included lower SELENA-SLEDAI
scores, no steroids and lower patient global assessment of disease.

  

Table 1. Comparison of enrollment demographic, medication, and clinical characteristics by disease activity group

 

Not optimally

controlled

Low disease

activity

Remission

on meds

Remission

off meds

p-value*

N

930

139

93

66

 

DEMOGRAPHICS

 

 

 

 

 

Age at diagnosis

 

 

 

 

 

   Mean

28.9±12.1

30.3±13.8

29.7±12.4

34.6±12.5

0.0046

   Category (%)

 

 

 

 

 

      0-20 years

29.1

27.5

26.4

16.1

0.0273

      21-35 years

44.2

41.3

45.1

35.5

 

      36-50 years

21.1

21.0

22.0

40.3

 

      ≥51 years

5.6

10.1

6.6

8.1

 

Sex (%)

 

 

 

 

 

   Male

8.3

7.3

7.7

12.9

0.5836

   Female

91.7

92.7

92.3

87.12

 

Race

 

 

 

 

 

   White Non-Hispanic

39.2

29.7

36.3

45.2

0.4454

   White Hispanic

7.7

6.5

11.0

4.8

 

   Black Hispanic

1.1

2.2

0.0

1.6

 

   Black Non-Hispanic

35.2

41.3

31.9

27.4

 

   Asian

9.3

8.7

11.0

12.9

 

   Other

7.4

11.6

9.9

8.1

 

Smoking status (%)

 

 

 

 

 

   Current

8.8

6.5

5.5

3.2

0.4266

   Former

19.0

23.9

19.8

24.2

 

   Never

72.2

69.6

74.7

72.6

 

Insurance (%)

 

 

 

 

 

   None

4.3

4.6

1.1

0.0

0.1204

   Medicaid

11.8

19.2

10.1

13.8

 

   Medicare

9.2

10.0

7.9

3.5

 

   Commercial/HMO

59.7

55.4

60.7

60.3

 

   Multiple

15.0

10.8

20.2

22.4

 

MEDICATIONS

 

 

 

 

 

   Plaquenil (%)

69.9

69.8

78.5

72.7

0.3609

   Steroids (%)

58.9

66.2

53.8

13.6

<0.0001

   Immunosuppresants (%)

54.78

62.6

66.7

6.1

<0.0001

CLINICAL

 

 

 

 

 

   Mean physician global assessment

0.71±0.70

0.81±0.61

0.35±0.51

0.22±0.47

<0.0001

   Mean patient global assessment

30.87±26.58

30.81±25.41

22.62±21.24

13.86±18.46

<0.0001

   Mean SLEDAI

3.24±3.52

3.67±3.18

1.13±1.66

0.65±1.39

<0.0001

   Mean SLICC

1.26±1.75

1.30±1.64

1.63±2.50

1.29±2.11

0.3493

   Mean disease duration

11.51±8.87

11.03±9.57

13.06±9.99

12.45±10.64

0.3219

   Mean ACR criteria count

5.58±1.53

5.73±1.62

5.51±1.64

5.08±1.41

0.0464

      Malar rash (%)

50.7

52.5

52.7

43.9

0.6736

      Renal disorder (%)

41.2

48.9

47.3

21.2

0.0013

      Oral ulcers (%)

38.0

39.6

37.6

19.7

0.0264

      Antinuclear antibody (%)

91.2

94.2

93.6

92.4

0.5767

      Serositis (%)

32.3

35.3

26.9

25.8

0.3918

      Photosensitivity (%)

41.9

38.1

45.2

43.9

0.7218

      Hematologic disorder (%)

57.0

59.7

51.6

62.1

0.5294

      Immunologic disorder (%)

75.3

87.8

77.4

72.7

0.0106

      Discoid rash (%)

15.1

17.3

12.9

13.6

0.8082

      Neurologic disorder (%)

11.3

13.0

18.3

13.6

0.2465

      Arthritis (%)

81.3

82.7

75.3

68.2

0.0334

*Estimated from chi-square and analysis of variance for categorical and continuous variables, respectively

 

 


Disclosure: K. Ko, None; A. B. Levine, None; R. Griffin, None; O. Dvorkina, None; S. Sheikh, None; J. Yazdany, None; R. Furie, None; C. Aranow, None.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Ko K, Levine AB, Griffin R, Dvorkina O, Sheikh S, Yazdany J, Furie R, Aranow C. Baseline Predictors of Remission and Low Disease Activity Using Recently Defined International Criteria in a Multi-Center Lupus Registry Cohort [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2015; 67 (suppl 10). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/baseline-predictors-of-remission-and-low-disease-activity-using-recently-defined-international-criteria-in-a-multi-center-lupus-registry-cohort/. Accessed .
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