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Abstract Number: 1808

Impact Of Baseline Disease Severity and Treatments On Outcomes In Clinical Trials Of SLE:  Results From The Soccit Program

Kenneth C. Kalunian1, Mimi Kim2, Timothy W. Behrens3, Sabine Bongardt4, Paul Brunetta5, Paola Daly6, Nathalie Franchimont7, Richard Furie8, Matthew Linnik9, Bevra H. Hahn10, Leslie M. Hanrahan11, Jan L. Hillson12, Jane Salmon13, Neil Solomons14 and Joan T. Merrill15, 1UCSD School of Medicine, La Jolla, CA, 2Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, 3Genentech, Inc, South San Francisco, CA, 4UCB Pharma, Monheim, Germany, 5Biotherapeutics, Genentech, So San Francisco, CA, 6Lupus Foundation of America, Washington DC, DC, 7Biogen Idec Inc., Weston, MA, 8North Shore-LIJ Health System, Lake Success, NY, 9Lilly Research Laboratories, La Jolla, CA, 10Rheumatology, UCLA David Geffen School of Medicine, Los Angeles, CA, 11Education & Research, Lupus Foundation of America, Washington, DC, 12Bristol-Myers Squibb, Seattle, WA, 13Rheumatology, Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, NY, 14Vifor Pharma, New York, NY, 15Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, OK

Meeting: 2013 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting

Keywords: Lupus and clinical trials

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Session Information

Title: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus - Clinical Aspects: Non-biologic Disease-modifying Antirheumatic Drugs

Session Type: Abstract Submissions (ACR)

Background/Purpose:

The Lupus Foundation of America Collective Data Analysis Initiative was established to evaluate SLE clinical trial design, using data collected from multiple studies.  To evaluate the impact of baseline disease characteristics and background treatments on trial endpoints, we  evaluated the effects of baseline disease severity and background medications on flare rates in non-nephritis patients.

Methods: Data from 186 SLE patients receiving standard-of-care (SOC) but no investigational agents were compiled from 3 multicenter non-nephritis Phase 2 or 3 trials.  A flare (referred to as “any flare”) was defined as either >/= 1 new BILAG A or >/= 2 new B scores; a severe flare was defined as the occurrence of >/= 1 new BILAG A organ score since the previous visit.   Treatments compared were: azathioprine, mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), methotrexate, and other including treatments such as antimalarials or low dose prednisone alone.

Results:

Those with severe disease at baseline (at least one BILAG A) were more likely to experience any flare as well as a severe flare.  At baseline, mean BILAG composite scores for MMF patients was 26.2 (SD 8.2) vs 22.1 (8.5) for all other patients (p=0.01).  MMF-treated patients with severe disease at baseline had the highest rate of any flare and severe flare.  Flare rates in other SOC groups did not differ when compared to each other (data not shown).   

Table 1.  Any Flare** Stratified by Baseline Disease Severity and Background Drug

 

Background drug

Baseline disease severity

Total person-years

Total number of any flares

Rate of any flare

P-value†

MMF

No BILAG A

11.7

12

1.03

reference

At least one A

19.3

46

2.39

0.01

Other drugs

No BILAG A

48.3

44

0.91

reference

At least one A

51.3

72

1.40

0.02

** Defined as >/= 1 new BILAG A or>/= 2 new B scores any new A or 2+ new Bs since last visit.

† By fitting a Poisson regression model to the total number of flares and the total person-years for each background drug group.

Table 2.  Severe Flare* Stratified by Baseline Disease Severity and Background Drug :

 

Background drug

Baseline disease severity

Total person-years

Total number of severe flares

Rate of severe flare

P-value†

MMF

No BILAG A

11.7

4

0.34

reference

At least one A

19.3

36

1.87

0.0013

Other drugs

No BILAG A

48.3

21

0.43

reference

At least one A

51.3

59

1.15

<0.0001

* Defined as >/= 1 new BILAG A since last visit.

Conclusion: Previously, we reported MMF to be associated with increased response rates based on a BILAG assessment, which may have been confounded by increased protocolized steroid use in studies contributing the majority of MMF-treated patients. We now report that in non-nephritis trials, patients entered on MMF had greater baseline disease, suggesting that treatment with MMF might define a sicker subset of patients.  Our new data further indicate a higher propensity for all flares and severe flares in those on MMF at baseline despite increased response rates after high steroid use, consistent with the hypothesis that those more ill patients who do not respond to protocol therapy, are more likely to flare than other patients. Trial results could be confounded, then, by inconsistencies between endpoints defining response and endpoints relying more heavily on flare.


Disclosure:

K. C. Kalunian,
None;

M. Kim,
None;

T. W. Behrens,

Genentech and Biogen IDEC Inc.,

3;

S. Bongardt,

UCB,

3;

P. Brunetta,

Genentech Inc,

3;

P. Daly,
None;

N. Franchimont,

Biogen Idec Inc.,

3;

R. Furie,

Exagen,

5;

M. Linnik,

Lilly,

3;

B. H. Hahn,

Eli Lilly and Company,

5,

Biogen-IDEC,

5,

Astella Pharma ,

5,

Teva Pharmaceutical,

2;

L. M. Hanrahan,
None;

J. L. Hillson,

Bristol-Myers Squibb,

3;

J. Salmon,
None;

N. Solomons,

Vifor,

3;

J. T. Merrill,
None.

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