Session Information
Date: Sunday, November 13, 2016
Title: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus – Clinical Aspects and Treatment II: Clinical Trial Design
Session Type: ACR Concurrent Abstract Session
Session Time: 4:30PM-6:00PM
Background/Purpose: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index-2000 Responder Index-50 (S2K RI-50) is a reliable and valid index able to measure ≥ 50% improvement in disease activity. We aimed to determine the Minimal Clinically Important Difference (MCID) for improvement for S2K RI-50.
Methods: Analysis was conducted on patients seen during 2010-2012 at a single lupus centre. The S2K RI-50 data retrieval form was completed at each visit. Physician global assessment was determined at baseline visit on a visual analogue scale (0-10) and at follow up visits on a 7-point Likert scale (LS) (1-3 reflects worsening, 4 unchanged, 5 slightly improved, 6 moderate improved (≥ 50%) and 7 much improved). This analysis is focused on the first follow up visit. LS was collapsed into 2groups; LS 6-7 and LS 1-5. The change of SLEDAI-2K scores was calculated between baseline and follow up. The change of S2K RI-50 was calculated between baseline SLEDAI-2K and follow up S2K RI-50 scores. MCID was determined with the anchor-based and the distribution-based approaches. Anchor-based approach using the whole cohort: we modeled the 1st follow up LS ≥ 6 as the outcome variable, and continuous S2K RI-50 change as the predictor in Logistic Regression model. Area Under the Curve (AUC) was obtained to determine the predictive power of S2K RI-50. We also derived the best S2K RI-50 cutoff based on optimal sensitivity/specificity in receiver operating characteristic (ROC) determined by the Youden index. Distribution-based approach: Standardized Response Mean (SRM) was used to confirm the effect size. The Standard Error of Measurement (SEM) was derived based on the following equation: SEM =
[S2K RI-50 test-retest reliability = 0.98 based on a previous publication from the same centre]
Results: 509 patients were studied (age and lupus duration at baseline visit were 44.3 ± 14.7 and 15.2 ± 11.0 years respectively). 48 patients had an improvement (LS 6 or 7). The characteristics of the patients with LS 6-7 and LS ≤5 are represented in table 1. Anchor-based approach: MCID of improvement is equal to 1 based on the ROC analysis [AUC 0.82 (95% CI: 75-89), sensitivity 81% and specificity 72%] (Figure 1). Distribution-based approach: SRM of S2K RI-50 for LS 6-7 was -0.97 (95% CI: -1.3, -0.6) which is considered a large effect size. SEM was equal to 0.96 from the previous equation.
Conclusion: The estimated MCID of S2K RI-50 derived from both ROC analysis and SEM confirmed that it is close to 1. Thus a reduction of S2K RI-50 of 1 represents a relevant change in disease activity.
Table 1. Characteristics of the patients with LS 6-7 and LS ≤5 | ||||
VARIABLE |
LS≤5 |
LS 6-7 |
p |
|
N=461 |
N=48 |
|||
Sex |
F |
411 (89.2%) |
44 (91.7%) |
0.59 |
M |
50 (10.8%) |
4 (8.3%) |
||
Age at baseline |
Mean ± SD |
44.11 ± 14.90 |
45.60 ± 14.22 |
0.50 |
SLE duration at baseline |
Mean ± SD |
15.27 ± 11.21 |
13.32 ± 8.70 |
0.24 |
SLEDAI-2K baseline |
Mean ± SD |
2.93 ± 3.54 |
7.33 ± 4.85 |
<.001 |
SLEDAI-2K at 1st follow up |
Mean ± SD |
3.26 ± 4.06 |
4.71 ± 4.08 |
0.01 |
SLEDAI-2K change |
Mean ± SD |
0.32 ± 2.74 |
-2.63 ± 4.15 |
<.001 |
S2K RI-50 at 1st follow up | Mean ± SD | 2.90 ± 3.88 |
3.19 ± 2.53 |
0.61 |
S2K RI-50 change |
Mean ± SD |
-0.04 ± 3.15 |
-4.15 ± 4.24 |
<.001 |
To cite this abstract in AMA style:
Touma Z, Gladman DD, Beaton D, Su J, Urowitz M. Determining the Minimal Clinically Important Difference for Improvement for Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index-2000 Responder Index-50 (S2K RI-50) [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2016; 68 (suppl 10). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/determining-the-minimal-clinically-important-difference-for-improvement-for-systemic-lupus-erythematosus-disease-activity-index-2000-responder-index-50-s2k-ri-50/. Accessed .« Back to 2016 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting
ACR Meeting Abstracts - https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/determining-the-minimal-clinically-important-difference-for-improvement-for-systemic-lupus-erythematosus-disease-activity-index-2000-responder-index-50-s2k-ri-50/