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Abstract Number: 1841

Can Systemic Lupus (SLE) Disease Activity be Consistently Scored and Interpreted with Simple, Rapid Outcome Measures?

Aikaterini Thanou1, Stan Kamp2, Stavros Stavrakis3, Cristina Arriens4, Teresa Aberle2, Eliza Chakravarty5, Joe Rawdon2, Judith A. James6, Joan T. Merrill5 and Anca Askanase7, 1Arthritis and Clinical Immmunology Research Program, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, OK, 2Arthritis and Clinical Immunology, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, OK, 3University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center, Ok, OK, 4Arthritis & Clinical Immunology, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, OK, 5Arthritis and Clinical Immunology Research Program, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, OK, 6Arthritis & Clinical Immunology Program, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, OK, 7Rheumatology, Columbia University College of Physicians & Surgeons, New York, NY

Meeting: 2017 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting

Date of first publication: September 18, 2017

Keywords: Disease Activity and outcome measures

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Session Information

Date: Monday, November 6, 2017

Title: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus – Clinical Aspects and Treatment II: Clinical Trial Design and Outcome Measures

Session Type: ACR Concurrent Abstract Session

Session Time: 2:30PM-4:00PM

Background/Purpose: Clinical trial evaluations in SLE have been problematic, in part due to glossary-based outcome measures that provide imperfect thresholds for grading flares or improvement. Visual analogue scales (VAS) allow refined scaling of change in disease severity, grounded in real world clinical observation, but have been inconsistent in practice when used over time or by different raters. The SELENA SLEDAI Physician’s Global Assessment (SSPGA) is a VAS with severity anchors and a simple but specific protocol for scoring designed to improve inter-and intra-rater consistency. The Rapid Evaluation of Activity in Lupus (LFA-REALTM) extends the SS PGA structure by providing separate scales for each active symptom, supporting evaluation of patient progress in individual symptoms, organs, or total disease activity. We compared performance of SS PGA and LFA-REALTM to accepted SLE trial outcome measures during an ongoing trial in SLE.

Methods: Disease activity (SLEDAI, BILAG 2004, SS PGA and LFA-REALTM) was evaluated at consecutive monthly visits in an investigator-initiated, double-blind, placebo controlled trial of abatacept (trial results pending). Validation of total scores and change in SSPGA and REAL vs SLEDAI and BILAG were examined by Spearman Correlation. ROC curve analysis (SAS) was applied to compare changes in SSPGA and LFA-REALTM to frequently used dichotomous SLE trial endpoints, SRI-4 and BICLA.

Results: 50 patients [47 female, mean age (SD) 45 (11.6) years] were assessed at 528 visits. Changes in disease activity compared to baseline were examined in 478 visit pairs. Total SSPGA and REAL scores strongly correlated to each other (r=0.936), as well as to total SLEDAI and BILAG [SS PGA: r= 0.742 (SLEDAI), r=0.776 (BILAG). REAL: r=0.778 (SLEDAI), r=0.813 (BILAG); all p<0.0001]. Changes in SS PGA and LFA-REALTM at each visit compared to screening correlated to each other (r= 0.857) as well as to changes in SLEDAI and BILAG [Delta SS PGA: r=0.678 (Delta SLEDAI), r= 0.624 (Delta BILAG); Delta LFA-REALTM: r=0.686 (Delta SLEDAI), and 0.700 (Delta BILAG); all p<0.0001]. Changes in SS PGA and LFA-REALTM were very strongly related to the dichotomous SRI-4 and BICLA endpoints by ROC analysis (p<0.0001 for all) (Table 1). Mean (95% CI) improvement in SS PGA reflecting SRI-4 was 37.3mm (35.4 to 39.3mm) and for LFA-REALTM 52mm (48.9 to 55.1mm). Unlike SS PGA, LFA-REALTM could be correlated to BILAG individual organ scores with musculoskeletal scores r=0.842 and mucocutaneous r=0.826 (p <0.0001 for both).

Conclusion: When scored by protocol standards, both the SS PGA and LFA-REALTM are reliable surrogates of commonly used endpoints in SLE trials. Both instruments are easy to score and understand, and could be employed as continuous or dichotomous endpoints. The LFA-REALTM provides an advantage of individualized scoring at the symptom or organ level.

Table 1. AUC of changes in LFA-REALTM and PGA in relation to SRI-4 and BICLA.

SRI-4

BICLA

Δ LFA-REALTM

0.8758

0.8517

Δ SS PGA

0.8946

0.9126


Disclosure: A. Thanou, None; S. Kamp, None; S. Stavrakis, None; C. Arriens, None; T. Aberle, None; E. Chakravarty, None; J. Rawdon, None; J. A. James, None; J. T. Merrill, Anthera Pharmaceuticals, Lilly, EMD Serono, GlaxoSmithKline and Biogen., 5; A. Askanase, Exagen, 2.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Thanou A, Kamp S, Stavrakis S, Arriens C, Aberle T, Chakravarty E, Rawdon J, James JA, Merrill JT, Askanase A. Can Systemic Lupus (SLE) Disease Activity be Consistently Scored and Interpreted with Simple, Rapid Outcome Measures? [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2017; 69 (suppl 10). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/can-systemic-lupus-sle-disease-activity-be-consistently-scored-and-interpreted-with-simple-rapid-outcome-measures/. Accessed .
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