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Abstract Number: 1971

Association between Genetic Variants and the Presence of Rheumatoid Arthritis-Related Autoimmunity and Progression to Classified Rheumatoid Arthritis in an at-Risk Population

Rachael Sawaya1, Elizabeth A. Bemis1, Ryan W. Gan2, Jill M. Norris3, Jeffrey A. Sparks4, Elizabeth Karlson5, M. Kristen Demoruelle6, Kevin D. Deane7, V. Michael Holers8, Marie L. Feser7, Laurie Moss7, Jane H. Buckner9, Richard M. Keating10, Peter Gregersen11, Michael Weisman12, Ted R. Mikuls13 and James R. O'Dell14, 1Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, CO, 2Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado Denver, Aurora, CO, 3Department of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, CO, 4Rheumatology, Immunology, and Allergy, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 5Rheumatology, Immunology and Allergy, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, 61775 Aurora Ct, 1775 Aurora Ct, Aurora, CO, 7Division of Rheumatology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, 8Rheumatology Division, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, 9Benaroya Research Institute at Virginia Mason, Seattle, WA, 10Division of Rheumatology, Scripps Clinic, La Jolla, CA, 11The Feinstein Institute for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 12Cedars-Sinai Medical Center Division of Rheumatology, Los Angeles, CA, 13Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE, 14Department of Internal Medicine, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE

Meeting: 2017 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting

Date of first publication: September 18, 2017

Keywords: autoantibodies and rheumatoid arthritis (RA), Genetic Biomarkers

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Session Information

Date: Tuesday, November 7, 2017

Title: Epidemiology and Public Health Poster III: Rheumatic Disease Risk and Outcomes

Session Type: ACR Poster Session C

Session Time: 9:00AM-11:00AM

Background/Purpose: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is an autoimmune disease characterized by the presence of RA-related autoantibodies prior to the development of clinical disease. While HLA-shared epitope (SE) is the strongest genetic factor for RA, genome-wide association scans (GWAS) have identified additional single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with RA. We investigated whether these SNPs were associated with the presence of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide autoantibodies (CCP) in RA-free At-Risk individuals, and/or with progression to classified RA in CCP positive (CCP+) individuals.

Methods: We tested 1066 RA-free first degree relatives (FDRs) of RA patients for CCP2 and CCP3.1 as part of the Studies of the Etiology of RA (SERA); 124 ever tested CCP+ at baseline or during follow-up. We examined associations between 41 GWAS-identified SNPs and ever CCP+ using logistic regression in additive models. We also assessed SE, age, and sex as effect modifiers. When a significant interaction was found, results were stratified. Of the CCP+ FDRs, 84 were followed over time and 10 developed classified RA. We examined whether the SNPs were associated with development of RA in CCP+ FDRs using Cox proportional hazards; effect modification was not tested due to small numbers. As each SNP was of interest due to the known association with RA, we did not adjust for multiple comparisons in this exploratory analysis.

Results: FDRs who were ever CCP+ were less likely to be ≥50 years old than CCP- FDRs (Table 1). Significant SNP and CCP+ associations and their interactions are presented in table 2. For some SNPs, associations differed by SE, age, and sex. In longitudinal analyses, CCP+ FDRs who developed RA were less likely to be non-Hispanic White (NHW) and more likely to be SE+ than CCP+ FDRs that did not develop RA (Table 1). In CCP+ FDRs, progression to RA was associated with different SNPs than those associated with CCP+ (Table 2).

Conclusion: These findings indicate that some RA-associated SNPs may play a role in the early development of serum CCP+ in absence of RA, and others may play a role in the progression from CCP+ without RA to classifiable disease. Moreover, associations between SNPs and autoimmunity differ by SE, age, and sex, suggesting disease heterogeneity. The effect modification by SE that we observed may suggest that GWAS SNPs may have a more influential effect when the individual does not have SE to promote disease. These findings need further exploration to inform disease mechanisms, prediction and therapeutic/prevention studies.

Table 1: Demographic characteristics at first CCP+ visit (or last study visit in CCP- subjects) by the two study outcomes

Characteristic

CCP +

(n=124)

CCP –

(n=942)

p-value

Developed RA

(n=10)

Did not develop RA

(n=74)

p-value

Age: N (% ≥ 50)

54%

65%

0.02

40%

53%

0.52

Race/Ethnicity: N (% NHW)

77%

75%

0.62

50%

85%

0.02

Sex: N (% female)

90%

90%

0.95

80%

89%

0.34

Education: N (% > high school)

26%

28%

0.58

40%

30%

0.72

Income: N (% ≥ 40K)

90%

90%

0.90

90%

86%

1.00

Shared Epitope: N (% positive)

55%

53%

0.73

90%

51%

0.04

Pack Years: N (% > 10)

15%

15%

0.98

0%

15%

0.35

Table 2: Significant associations between RA GWAS SNPs and CCP positivity in RA-free FDRs, and for progression from CCP+ to RA in FDRs

Outcome = CCP+† (Nanalzyed=1066)

Gene name (SNP)

Odds Ratio (95% CI)

Interaction p-value

DNASE1L3-ABHD6-PXK (rs73081554)

0.21 (0.08-0.57)

ns

CFLAR-CASP8 (rs6715284)

0.03

SE-

0.39 (0.18-0.87)

SE+

1.15 (0.67-1.97)

TPD52 (rs998731)

0.02

SE-

0.59 (0.40-0.88)

SE+

1.20 (0.84-1.73)

CCL21 (rs11574914)

0.04

Age < 50 first CCP+ visit or last visit CCP-

1.84 (1.21-2.80)

Age ≥ 50 first CCP+ visit or last visit CCP-

0.97 (0.66-1.49)

PADI4 (rs2301888)

0.002

Age < 50 first CCP+ visit or last visit CCP-

1.42 (0.94-2.14)

Age ≥ 50 first CCP+ visit or last visit CCP-

0.50 (0.30-0.83)

CDK6 (rs4272)

0.03

Female

1.13 (0.81-1.58)

Male

0.20 (0.04-0.92)

COG6 (rs9603616)

0.02

Female

0.93 (0.69-1.26)

Male

2.97 (1.21-7.24)

LBH (rs10175798)

0.04

Female

1.06 (0.80-1.39)

Male

2.41 (1.16-4.95)

Outcome = Progression to 2010 or 1987 RA in CCP+ FDRs‡ (Nanalyzed=84)

Gene name (SNP)

Hazard Ratio (95% CI)

RAD51B (rs1950897)

3.40 (1.08-10.69)

SPRED2 (rs1858037)

2.77 (1.02-7.50)

IL2RA (rs706778)

5.06 (1.51-16.96)

AFF3 (rs9653442)

0.18 (0.04-0.83)

RUNX1 (rs9979383)

5.77 (1.49-22.40)

†Separate models are run for each SNP, and are adjusted for race, age ≥ 50, and account for familial correlation. Odds ratios represent the increase (or decrease) in risk associated with an additional minor allele of the SNP.

‡Separate models are run for each SNP, and are adjusted for race, age ≥ 50, SE, and account for familial correlation. Hazard ratios represent the increase (or decrease) in risk associated with an additional minor allele of the SNP.


Disclosure: R. Sawaya, None; E. A. Bemis, None; R. W. Gan, None; J. M. Norris, None; J. A. Sparks, None; E. Karlson, None; M. K. Demoruelle, None; K. D. Deane, Inova Diagnostics, Inc., 5; V. M. Holers, None; M. L. Feser, None; L. Moss, None; J. H. Buckner, None; R. M. Keating, None; P. Gregersen, None; M. Weisman, None; T. R. Mikuls, BMS, 2,Ironwood Pharm, 2,Pfizer Inc, 5,NIH, VA, 2; J. R. O'Dell, Medac, 5,Coherus, 5.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Sawaya R, Bemis EA, Gan RW, Norris JM, Sparks JA, Karlson E, Demoruelle MK, Deane KD, Holers VM, Feser ML, Moss L, Buckner JH, Keating RM, Gregersen P, Weisman M, Mikuls TR, O'Dell JR. Association between Genetic Variants and the Presence of Rheumatoid Arthritis-Related Autoimmunity and Progression to Classified Rheumatoid Arthritis in an at-Risk Population [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2017; 69 (suppl 10). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/association-between-genetic-variants-and-the-presence-of-rheumatoid-arthritis-related-autoimmunity-and-progression-to-classified-rheumatoid-arthritis-in-an-at-risk-population/. Accessed .
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