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Abstract Number: 1773

Risk Factors for Cerebrovascular Events in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Results from an International, Inception Cohort Study

John G Hanly1, Qiuju Li2, Li Su3, Murray Urowitz4, Juanita Romero-Diaz5, Caroline Gordon6, Sang-Cheol Bae7, Sasha Bernatsky8, Ann E. Clarke9, Daniel J Wallace10, Joan T. Merrill11, David A. Isenberg12, Anisur Rahman13, Ellen M. Ginzler14, Paul R. Fortin15, D Gladman16, Jorge Sanchez-Guerrero17, Michelle Petri18, Ian N. Bruce19, Mary Anne Dooley20, Rosalind Ramsey-Goldman21, Cynthia Aranow22, Graciela S. Alarcon23, Kristján Steinsson24, Gunnar K. Sturfelt25, Ola Nived26, Susan Manzi27, M Khamashta28, Ronald F. van Vollenhoven29, Asad Zoma30, Guillermo Ruiz-Irastorza31, S. Sam Lim32, Murat Inanc33, Kenneth C. Kalunian34, Diane L. Kamen35, Christine A. Peschken36, Søren Jacobsen37, Anca Askanase38, Chris Theriault39, Vernon Farewell40 and Manuel Ramos-Casals41, 1Division of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine and Department of Pathology, Queen Elizabeth II Health Sciences Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada, 2MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 3Nova Scotia Rehab Site, Division of Rheumatology, Capital Health and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada, 4Medicine, Toronto Western Hospital and University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, 5Immunology and Rheumatology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico city, Mexico, 6NIHR/Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Facility, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, United Kingdom, 7Hanyang University Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Seoul, Korea, Republic of, 8Divisions of Rheumatology and Clinical Epidemiology, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, Canada, 9Division of Rheumatology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada, 10Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, West Hollywood, CA, 11Arthritis and Clinical Immunology Program, Oklahoma Medical Research Foundation, Oklahoma City, OK, 12Centre for Rheumatology, Division of Medicine, University College London, London, United Kingdom, 13Rayne Institute, Centre for Rheumatology Research, UCL Division of Medicine, London, United Kingdom, 14Rheumatology, SUNY Downstate Medical Center, Brooklyn, NY, 15Rheumatology, University of Laval, Quebec, QC, Canada, 16University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, 17Rheumatology, Toronto Western Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada, 18Rheumatology Division, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, 19NIHR Manchester Musculoskeletal Biomedical Research Unit, Central Manchester University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, United Kingdom, 20Dooley Rheumatology, Chapel Hill Doctors, Chapel Hill, NC, 21FSM, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL, 22Molecular Medicine and Medicine, Hofstra Northwell School of Medicine, Hempstead, NY, 23Department of Medicine, Division of Clinical Immunology and Rheumatology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, 24Rheumatology, Univ. Hospital, Reykjavik, Iceland, 25Department of Rheumatology, Univ Hospital Lund, Lund, Sweden, 26Department of Rheumatology, University Hospital, Lund, Sweden, 27Lupus Center of Excellence, West Penn Allegheny Health System, Pittsburgh, PA, 28Lupus Research Unit, Lupus Research Unit, The Rayne Institute, King's College London School of Medicine, St Thomas' Hospital, London, United Kingdom, 29Unit for Clinical Therapy Research, Inflammatory Diseases (ClinTRID), The Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden, 30Rheumatology, Hairmyres Hospital, East Kilbride, Great Britain, 31Universidad del Pais Vasco, Servicio de Medicina Interna, Hospital de Cruces, Bizkaia, Spain, 32Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, 33Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, Istanbul University, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul, Turkey, 34Division of Rheumatology, Allergy & Immunology, UCSD School of Medicine Center for Innovative Therapy, La Jolla, CA, 35Medicine/Rheumatology & Immunology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC, 36RR 149G, Univ of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada, 37Rheumatology, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark, 38Rheumatology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, 39Medicine, Queen Elizabeth II Health Sciences Centre and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada, 40Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, Capital Health and Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada, 41Laboratory of Systemic Autoimmune Diseases “Josep Font”, CELLEX, Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Department of Systemic Autoimmune Diseases, ICMID, Hospital Clinic, Barcelona, Spain, Barcelona, Spain

Meeting: 2016 ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting

Date of first publication: September 28, 2016

Keywords: neuropsychiatric disorders and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE)

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Session Information

Date: Monday, November 14, 2016

Title: Systemic Lupus Erythematosus – Clinical Aspects and Treatment - Poster II: Damage Accrual and Quality of Life

Session Type: ACR Poster Session B

Session Time: 9:00AM-11:00AM

Background/Purpose: Neuropsychiatric (NP) disease in patients with SLE includes cerebrovascular events (CerVE). We determined the frequency, attribution and risk factors for CerVE in a large, multi-ethnic/racial, inception cohort of SLE patients with long-term followup.

Methods: A prospective study of new onset SLE patients was performed by an international network of 32 academic centers in 11 countries. Patients were evaluated at enrollment and annually for up to 17 years. Data were collected at each assessment on demographic and clinical manifestations, medications, SLE disease activity index-2000 (SLEDAI-2K) and Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC)/ACR damage index (SDI).  Nervous system events were recorded using the ACR case definitions for 19 NP syndromes. These included the following CerVE: (i) Stroke; (ii) Transient ischemia; (iii) Chronic multifocal ischemia; (iv) Subarachnoid and intracranial hemorrhage; (v) Sinus thrombosis. Pre-defined rules determined the attribution of NP events to SLE and non-SLE causes. Demographic variables, clinical variables, medications and NP related lupus autoantibodies were examined as potential predictors of the risk of SLE CerVE by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses.

Results: Of 1,826 SLE patients, 88.8% were female, 48.8% Caucasian, 16.8% African, 15.4% Hispanic, 15% Asian and 4% other. At enrollment the mean±SD age was 35.1±13.3 years, SLE duration was 5.6±4.2 months, SLEDAI-2K was 5.3±5.4 and SDI was 0.31±0.73. The mean follow-up was 6.5±4.1 years. Over the study 929 (50.9%) patients had 1,844 NP events of which 573 (31.1%) in 378/1826 (20.7%) patients were attributed to SLE. CerVE were the fourth most frequent NP event: 82/1,826 (4.5%) patients had 109 events of which 103/109 (94.5%) were attributed to SLE and 44 (40.4%) were identified at the enrollment visit. The incidence of first and recurrent CerVE was 5.8/1000 and 32.7/1000 person years respectively. The predominant events were stroke [60/109 (55.0%)] and transient ischemia [28/109 (25.7%)] followed by subarachnoid and intracranial hemorrhage [9/109 (8.3%)], chronic multifocal ischemia [9/109 (8.3%)] and sinus thrombosis [3/109 (2.8%)]. Multivariate analysis identified significant associations between CerVE and concurrent NP events attributed to SLE (HR (95% CI): (3.18; 1.72-5.88), concurrent non-SLE NP events (2.75; 1.55-4.89) (p<0.001), patients of African ancestry at US SLICC sites (2.95; 1.44-6.06) (p=0.003) and increased cumulative organ damage score (excluding NP variables) (p=0.04). There was a significant association between lupus anticoagulant at enrolment and the risk of first CerVE (4.4; 1.8-10.9) but not with recurrent events (0.87; 0.34-2.24) (p=0.012) likely due to the greater use of anticoagulants following the initial CerVE event (94%) compared to at the time of the initial events (37%).  

Conclusion: CerVE are the fourth most frequent NP event in SLE, are usually attributable to lupus and occur frequently around the time of SLE diagnosis. Risk factors include other concurrent NP events, African ancestry and lupus anticoagulant.  


Disclosure: J. G. Hanly, None; Q. Li, None; L. Su, None; M. Urowitz, None; J. Romero-Diaz, None; C. Gordon, None; S. C. Bae, None; S. Bernatsky, None; A. E. Clarke, None; D. J. Wallace, None; J. T. Merrill, None; D. A. Isenberg, None; A. Rahman, None; E. M. Ginzler, None; P. R. Fortin, None; D. Gladman, AbbVie, Amgen, Celgene, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB, 2,AbbVie, Amgen, BMS, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB, 5; J. Sanchez-Guerrero, None; M. Petri, None; I. N. Bruce, None; M. A. Dooley, None; R. Ramsey-Goldman, exagen, 2; C. Aranow, None; G. S. Alarcon, None; K. Steinsson, None; G. K. Sturfelt, None; O. Nived, None; S. Manzi, exagen, 2; M. Khamashta, None; R. F. van Vollenhoven, AbbVie, Amgen, Biotest, BMS, Celgene, Crescendo, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, UCB, and Vertex., 2,AbbVie, Amgen, Biotest, BMS, Celgene, Crescendo, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, UCB, and Vertex., 5,AbbVie, Amgen, Biotest, BMS, Celgene, Crescendo, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Lilly, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, UCB, and Vertex., 8; A. Zoma, None; G. Ruiz-Irastorza, None; S. S. Lim, None; M. Inanc, None; K. C. Kalunian, None; D. L. Kamen, None; C. A. Peschken, None; S. Jacobsen, None; A. Askanase, None; C. Theriault, None; V. Farewell, None; M. Ramos-Casals, None.

To cite this abstract in AMA style:

Hanly JG, Li Q, Su L, Urowitz M, Romero-Diaz J, Gordon C, Bae SC, Bernatsky S, Clarke AE, Wallace DJ, Merrill JT, Isenberg DA, Rahman A, Ginzler EM, Fortin PR, Gladman D, Sanchez-Guerrero J, Petri M, Bruce IN, Dooley MA, Ramsey-Goldman R, Aranow C, Alarcon GS, Steinsson K, Sturfelt GK, Nived O, Manzi S, Khamashta M, van Vollenhoven RF, Zoma A, Ruiz-Irastorza G, Lim SS, Inanc M, Kalunian KC, Kamen DL, Peschken CA, Jacobsen S, Askanase A, Theriault C, Farewell V, Ramos-Casals M. Risk Factors for Cerebrovascular Events in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Results from an International, Inception Cohort Study [abstract]. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2016; 68 (suppl 10). https://acrabstracts.org/abstract/risk-factors-for-cerebrovascular-events-in-systemic-lupus-erythematosus-results-from-an-international-inception-cohort-study/. Accessed .
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